If you do not understand that, then you deserve a failing grade. Common sense is the belief that common everyday experiences can be assumed to apply to situations outside of our common everyday experiences.
O Pioneer! Andrew, you have a very good point. What you use for evidence of AGW has demonstrated in the mid 20th century the opposite of your position – anti-correlation to human activity — and it currently demonstrates that there is no correlation at all between human activity and global warming. To call AGW a theory is to deny the scientific method and science itself.”, and I wrote: “the predictions of AGW have failed, thus meeting [Feynmann’s] definition of wrong”, You wrote: “the hiatus in warming occurred as a result of a strong El Nino in 1998 and a series of La Nina’s a few years later.”, The El Nino hypothesis is but one of many unproved hypotheses: I see through your deceit. Medicine is complex — a drug works wonders on one patient but has ill effects on others (e.g. Anyone whose first inclination is to utilize the State, is someone to be shunned and not celebrated. Of course, it is possible to add complexity that isn’t there. One of the greatest failings of AGW advocates is that they package their predictions into simplistic graphs, ignoring any influence other than CO2 concentration. The Essence of Science — Feynman Gets It In 63 Seconds, Science and Stories Collide: Carl Sagan and an Unsung Hero of Scientific Inquiry, The Scholarly Kitchen Podcast Episode 23: Jeffrey Mervis on the State of Science in the Trump Administration, A Fast Trip Through 13 Centuries of English, Parallel Peer Review at Cell Press: An Interview with Deborah Sweet. Andrew_W’s attempts at italics and bold worked above, but his indented italicized quote did not. free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible. Philosophers say a great deal about what is absolutely necessary for science, and it is always, so far as one can see, rather naive, and probably wrong. To say that it was a fraud before testing it with future data would be the actual fraud. I think it a perfectly correct representation of your claims, which have been based on the variability of the rate of temperature rise, is there some other area in which you are arguing that reality has not followed AGW expectations? Before that, it is only a guess. The first thing a scientist does after studying a subject, Feynman suggested, is … Evolution theory does not predict any specific evolution or extinction, but it predicts that species evolve with time, sometimes with the original species no longer existing after the evolution is complete, and this has been shown. You may learn something. You wrote: “start with the scientific method, and if you have competing theories the simpler is more likely to be correct”. That you repeated it a second time is absolutely not acceptable.
So, which is it? CO2 levels are only one factor that drives the Earth’s temperature, yet too many people behave as though it is the only factor. I’m not a “scientist,” in the common usage sense (and if I was, I might not brag about it) but I am on the Behavioral end of the social-science spectrum, where the greatest sin I could commit would be to appeal to internal unmeasurable mental-states as primary causes of behavior.
Quantum physics is so complex that the experts admit that no one really understands it. Have the models been updated, or is Arrhenius correct? Yes, almost certainly, though how much of a part remains unknown. “Ideas so great & “scientific,” they have to be imposed on innocent people, by the barrel of a gun.” Count me out.
I’ll have to contradict or at least clarify that. This method became organized, of course, into science. This is why we cannot accurately forecast the weather more than a couple of days out (and I live in a desert-like, chaparral, area where the weather does not change much, day to day).
From here on Edward shows his true motivations for his “skepticism over AGW, for Edward it is impossible to understand that someone can have an opinion on AGW without that opinion being based on ideology, he’s forced to project his own motivations onto others, anyone with an opinion that he disagrees with on this scientific issue in his mind must be political, and on that bases I called BS on any claims Edward might make to having an objective science based opinion on AGW. Mr. Zimmerman: You hit the nail! But you do not need knowledge in order to blindly believe, you just need to mock and insult anyone who disagrees with your belief. First time offenders who are new to the site will be warned.
This is intriguing! I welcome all opinions, even those that strongly criticize my commentary. We know for certain that the Earth can warm and cool without human influence.
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